Weekly newsletter: May 30, 2026

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Are Missouri and North Dakota

in a water war?

Two people walk on a sandbar in the Missouri River near Columbia, Missouri, amid historically low water levels in October 2022. Officials in Missouri fear that the impact of droughts in the state may be more severe after the completion of a pipeline that would divert water to eastern North Dakota, where the Red River of the North flows into Canada. (Annie Ropeik/Ag & Water Desk)

A project to divert water away from the Missouri River has sparked a new fight in a decades-long conflict over how to manage the river’s water in times of drought. New reporting from the Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk.

By Ceilidh Kern, The Beacon (Kansas City)

Author Mark Twain, a proud son of Missouri, once reportedly mused that “whiskey is for drinking; water is for fighting over.”

Some natural resources officials in the Midwest would seem to agree. 

In a February opinion piece, Kurt Schaefer, director of the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, wrote that “for more than three decades, the state of Missouri has engaged in a water war with North Dakota.”

The latest battle in that war, he said, is a series of projects in North Dakota that, once completed, will divert water out of the Missouri River to the Sheyenne River and Red River of the North, which run into Canada and ultimately connects with Hudson Bay. 

In an opinion piece responding to Schaefer, Reice Haase, director of the North Dakota Department of Water Resources, said that “North Dakota has never viewed Missouri River water as something to be won, but as a resource to be responsibly used.”

“Putting our water to beneficial use is not an act of hostility toward downstream states,” he added. “Rather, it is a responsibility to the people we serve.”

But Schaefer and others in the lower basin say this could set a precedent for future out-of-basin diversions and put the river — and those who rely on it — at risk.

Why is North Dakota diverting water?

The pipeline is meant to support municipal drinking water systems in central and eastern North Dakota.

When the U.S. dammed the northern Missouri River in the 1940s, the government promised North Dakota irrigation and municipal water supply projects in the Red River basin — home to the state’s largest and third-largest cities, Fargo and Grand Forks, which experienced an “extreme shortage of water” in the 1930s, Haase said.

Those projects never materialized, in part because of opposition from lower-basin states, he said. While the Red River Valley has grown, he said that without the pipeline, another 1930s-like drought could put communities at risk.

Unable to secure federal funding, the state took on the project itself and has spent $400 million so far, Haase said, adding that it will probably spend another $400 million to $500 million.

While state funding will cover most of the project, the federal government has agreed to chip in  $158 million for a portion of the pipeline. 

Meanwhile, U.S. Sen. John Hoeven, R-N.D., is seeking another $520 million for two projects that would draw water from the Missouri River basin to other parts of North Dakota. Those include a connection between the Red River pipeline and an existing canal that serves municipal water systems and farmers. 

“This is part of a bigger picture, an upper-basin state really trying to lay the groundwork for a massive expansion of diversion of water out of the Missouri,” Schaefer said. 

‘Robbing Peter to pay Paul’

In his opinion piece, Schaefer wrote that “reductions in the amount of water available downstream will harm Missouri agriculture, utilities, public water supplies, power plants,  navigation and the greater inland waterway system.”

Shane Kinne, executive director of the Coalition to Protect the Missouri River, a group of lower-basin stakeholders, said that “when you start the process of moving water out of one basin into another, it kind of comes back to robbing Peter to pay Paul.”

“You may be solving one issue, but you’re exacerbating or causing another issue in another basin that will have to be solved,” he said. 

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has already limited releases from upriver dams in recent years due to drought. Kinne said that hurts Missouri power plants, many of which rely on the river for cooling water and would shut down without it.

“Often, those plants are measuring their access to water in inches,” he said. “That just highlights that even the tiniest amounts of flow are really critical.”

Low river levels also have implications for the state’s businesses, Schaefer said.  

“A million tons of sand and gravel are shipped by barge in and out of the Kansas City region on the Missouri River every year, and up to 300,000 tons of soybeans make their way to the world on the river, as do nearly 270,000 tons of asphalt, cement (and) concrete,” he said.

Lower water levels limit how much barges can carry, raising costs, Kinne said.

There are also implications for municipal water systems, including Kansas City and St. Louis, which draw most of their drinking water from the Missouri River. 

Dru Buntin, chief of water resources for the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, said the current drought raises questions about sending water out of the basin. 

“We have concerns about the precedent of sending water outside of the basin under what the Corps is saying is their ‘surplus water authority,’” he said. “How is there surplus water to send out of the basin when we’re already reducing releases downstream … because of a lack of water in the reservoir?” 

Setting a precedent

The North Dakota pipeline will be able to transport 165 cubic feet of water — around 1,230 gallons — per second. Haase said it would be expected to run at or near full capacity only during times of drought.

Kinne said the concern isn’t so much the impact of this project as what it might enable in the future. 

“If you look at the North Dakota projects by themselves, you can argue they don’t have enough impact for us to be concerned,” he said. “The concern is the precedent that it sets, and these projects writing the playbook for other states and western states to access this water.”

As states in the western and southwestern U.S. struggle to reach an agreement on how to allocate water from the dwindling Colorado River, some in the Midwest are concerned they may begin looking to the Missouri River to meet their needs.

Even states within the basin have eyed Missouri River water as a potential solution to water shortages in other areas of their state, with Kansas and Army Corps officials studying the possibility of diverting the river to replenish the Ogallala aquifer.

If western states do divert water from the Missouri River, “it could be devastating,” said Garrett Hawkins, president of Missouri Farm Bureau.

“We understand that out west, the water situation is dramatically different, but we shouldn’t be looked at as the solution,” Hawkins said. 

In 2025, Missouri lawmakers passed a law requiring a permit to export water and prohibiting the export of water via pipeline more than 30 miles beyond state borders. 

Western “states are turning a thirsty eye to Missouri and other Midwestern states that are water-rich in order to get some of that water,” state Rep. Colin Wellenkamp, a St. Charles Republican, said during floor debate on the bill. 

Ken Royse is the project manager for the Missouri River Joint Water Board, a coalition of North Dakota counties focused on protection and development of the river. He agreed that out-of-basin transfers to western states are the biggest threat to the Missouri River system.

“I think Missouri is trying to make a point that they’re watching it,” he said. “They’re worried about the precedent being set, and we are too. I think North Dakota has the same concern.”

“But our theory is, we’re a basin state,” he added. “We contribute water, we contribute land. We should be able to take water out to the extent that we don’t damage our downstream neighbors.” 

Schaefer said he remains concerned about both precedent and the impact of the current project, which is “using federal dollars to help one state really to the detriment of other states.”

“With North Dakota seeking over $400 million to expand this project, we really don’t know … how much is going to be diverted,” he said.

Farmland lines the Missouri River near Washington, Missouri. Officials in the state worry that a plan by North Dakota to divert water from the Missouri River will leave less for farming and other uses downstream, especially during droughts. (Eric Lee/St. Louis Public Radio, aerial support provided by LightHawk)

Bringing the states together

A number of organizations have formed over the years to try to bring basin states together to discuss river management, “but opportunities for meaningful, basin-wide dialogue have gone unrealized,” Haase wrote in his opinion piece.

“On several occasions, we convened meetings of Missouri River basin states to pursue collaborative river management, invitations that Missouri declined,” he wrote.

Schaefer denied those claims, telling The Beacon that “Missouri does attend those meetings,” as do Missouri agriculture and transportation groups.

In his piece, Haase also wrote that “Missouri later withdrew from the Missouri River Association of States and Tribes, narrowing avenues for coordination.”

Asked whether that was true, Schaefer didn’t appear to know what MoRAST was.

“I know that the state of Missouri participates in multiple groups,” he said. “If there’s some group that at some point Missouri was no longer a part of, I don’t know that.” 

But Missouri was never a part of the association to begin with, said Buntin, who was head of DNR before Schaefer. 

“Missouri didn’t pull out — Missouri never joined MoRAST,” Buntin said. 

“The upper-basin states formed MoRAST, and originally, Iowa and Nebraska joined, but then the 2011 floods happened, and Iowa and Nebraska dropped out of MoRAST because their governors felt like the organization wasn’t representing the interests of their states,” he added.

Missouri didn’t join the association because “we wanted it to be a consensus-based organization, (but) North Dakota and other upper-basin states disagreed with that approach,” Buntin said.

But the back-and-forth opinion pieces have started a new conversation.

Stakeholder groups from North Dakota, Missouri and other lower-basin states, as well as Missouri state officials, met in March to “sit down and talk about this instead of just arguing in the newspapers,” Royse said.

Buntin said “it was a good first discussion,” adding that he’s since reached out to his “counterparts in North Dakota, who were not in attendance.”

He said he’d like to see states agree to not transfer water outside of a basin state, but also develop a process for reviewing transfers — and their impact on downstream states — before they’re greenlit.

“On the issue at hand here, of out-of-basin diversions, we’re just concerned about the precedent and where that ends and having some long-term protection in place,” he said. 

To reach an agreement, the states will also have to reckon with their fundamentally different water laws.

Missouri follows eastern, riparian water law, which allows landowners to use any water touching their property as long as it doesn’t harm downstream users.

North Dakota, meanwhile, operates under western, prior appropriation doctrine, where the “first in time” is the “first in right,” even during shortages.

“Water within the borders of North Dakota belongs to the state of North Dakota,” Haase wrote in his opinion piece. “To suggest otherwise defies both common sense and the foundational principles of state sovereignty.”

But Buntin said the river’s interconnected nature complicates that view.

“We’re an eastern water law state,” he said, “but we’re reliant upon rainfall that doesn’t fall in our state and is stored in lakes that aren’t in our state.”

Missouri, he said, needs to ensure that decisions made upstream don’t leave it dry.

This story is a product of the Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk, an independent reporting network based at the University of Missouri in partnership with Report for America, with major funding from the Walton Family Foundation. 

The Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk is an independent reporting network based at the University of Missouri in partnership with Report for America, with major funding from the Walton Family Foundation. Click here for a map of the basin and our partner newsrooms.

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